The Wilder School’s most recent poll, shows that Virginia voters reflect a trend towards Biden and Democrats. This seems to be more of a vote against Trump, than a vote for Biden.
The challenge for both camps is to incentivize positive reasons to vote for their respective candidates. At this point, the poll reflects that this is more an immediate task for Trump and Republicans.
Amy Coney Barrett’s nomination to the Supreme Court seems to have played no role in influencing their vote.
Clearly, voter enthusiasm will be the final determinant of the election. While the majority of the people are weathering an inexplicable toll, in terms of finances, health, housing, access to education etc., as a result of the pandemic, it will still fall on candidates to energize them if they are to turn out at the polls.